Champions League Semi-Final Predictions and Best Bets: Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid and PSG vs Bayern Munich (April 2026)

Four thrilling quarter-finals have produced two mouth-watering Champions League semi-final ties. Arsenal and PSG both made it through, while Atletico Madrid produced one of the great upsets of the tournament and Bayern Munich delivered a stunning performance at the Allianz Arena. The semi-finals take place on April 28 and 29, with second legs on May 5 and 6, and the Budapest final on May 30.

Here are our Champions League semi-final predictions and best bets for both ties.

Quarter-Final Results Recap

Before the predictions, here is how all four ties ended:

Atletico Madrid 3-2 Barcelona on aggregate: Barcelona came out flying in the second leg, with Lamine Yamal scoring after four minutes and Ferran Torres equalising on aggregate. But Ademola Lookman's crucial counter-attack goal restored Atletico's advantage, and a red card for Eric Garcia in the second half ended Barcelona's hopes. A famous victory for Simeone's side.

PSG 4-0 Liverpool on aggregate: The reigning champions were dominant across both legs. Ousmane Dembele scored twice in the second leg at Anfield as PSG cruised to a comfortable aggregate victory. Liverpool were simply not at the races over two legs.

Arsenal 1-0 Sporting CP on aggregate: A tense and tight affair across both legs. Kai Havertz's injury-time goal in Lisbon proved the difference, with a goalless second leg at the Emirates enough for Arsenal to progress. Professional, controlled and ultimately deserved.

Bayern Munich 6-4 Real Madrid on aggregate: The tie of the round. Bayern won the second leg 4-3 at the Bernabeu in a seven-goal thriller. Arda Guler scored twice in the first half to put Real Madrid in control before Harry Kane, Pavlovic and Luis Diaz turned the tie around in the most dramatic fashion. Olise added a late goal in injury time to put the final nail in Real Madrid's coffin.

The Champions League Semi-Finals

Tie	First Leg	Second Leg
PSG vs Bayern Munich	April 28 or 29	May 5 or 6
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid	April 28 or 29	May 5 or 6

PSG vs Bayern Munich

This is the heavyweight clash of the semi-finals. PSG, the reigning champions, against Bayern Munich, who are arguably the most in-form team left in the competition after that stunning comeback at the Bernabeu.

PSG have been the most consistent team in this competition all season. They eliminated Liverpool without really being troubled across either leg, and their squad depth and pressing intensity make them formidable opponents for anyone. H

Bayern's comeback against Real Madrid showed incredible character and attacking quality. Four goals over Real Madrid is a performance that commands respect. However, PSG at the Parc des Princes is a different proposition to the Bernabeu, and the French champions will be desperate to defend their title.

This tie could genuinely go either way and is likely to be decided by fine margins across both legs.

Our prediction: PSG to qualify in an incredibly tight two-legged tie.

Best bets:

• Both teams to score in both legs

• Over 2.5 goals in the first leg

• Harry Kane to score at some point across the tie

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid

In recent weeks, Arsenal have faltered, and most neutrals doubt their ability to see things through when the pressure is on. Their semi-final against Atletico Madrid will be the biggest test of their Champions League credentials yet.

Atletico's victory over Barcelona was built on defensive resilience, tactical discipline and devastating counter-attacks. Simeone has made a career out of beating teams who are technically superior to his side, and Arsenal's recent form has shown some vulnerability. Their defeat to Bournemouth and FA Cup exit to Southampton earlier in the season raised questions about how they handle tough situations.

Arsenal's strength lies in their squad depth, with Viktor Gyokeres leading the line alongside Eberechi Eze, Gabriel Martinelli and Noni Madueke providing creativity. Their home second leg at the Emirates gives them a significant advantage if they can keep the first leg tight.

Atletico will look to frustrate Arsenal in the first leg and hit them on the break exactly as they did to Barcelona. This will be a tense, attritional tie rather than an open goalfest.

Our prediction: Arsenal to qualify but only after two deeply uncomfortable legs against one of Europe's most difficult teams to beat.

Best bets:

• Under 2.5 goals in the first leg

• Arsenal to qualify

• Atletico to score in at least one leg

Who Wins the Champions League?

Based on the semi-final bracket, a PSG vs Arsenal final in Budapest looks the most likely outcome. PSG defending their title against an Arsenal side seeking their first ever Champions League trophy would be one of the great European finals.

We are sticking to the semi-finals for our predictions and will bring you a full final preview once the semi-finals are decided. Check back on KickAndGame.com for all the latest Champions League coverage.

Where To Bet on the Champions League Semi-Finals

For the best odds across both semi-final ties, check out 1xBet with competitive markets on match winner, both teams to score, total goals, first goalscorer and tournament outright winner.

👉 Bet on the Champions League with 1xBet

Use promo code 1x_4541883 when signing up to claim your welcome bonus.

Bet responsibly. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Visit responsiblegambling.org for support.